Wednesday, May 24, 3:40 pm –
A tornado watch was issued at 3:45 p.m. Wednesday for Darlington, Dillon, and Marlboro Counties. The watch is in effect until 12 a.m. Thursday.
A tornado watch was also issued for Robeson County in North Carolina until midnight.
A tornado warning was issued for Darlington County Wednesday afternoon, but minutes later the National Weather Service dismissed that warning saying, “the storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado. Therefore the warning has been canceled.”
Gusty winds and heavy rain is expected throughout the afternoon as storms move across the Pee Dee. Strong storms can be expected about just outside of Mullins, and another strong thunderstorm is between Mullins and Green Sea Thursday afternoon.
Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.
Wednesday, May 24, 10:00 am –
Weather alert day continues for the entire are with portions of the area upgraded to an Enhanced risk for severe storms this afternoon.
The storms are currently down to our south in Florida but will be moving into the area later this afternoon. We’ve seen a few breaks in the cloud cover and have received some spots of sunshine for the morning hours which will help heat things up and cause a little more instability in the atmosphere. This line of storms will move in around 3-4 today and bring the chance for severe weather.
Our severe threat is still the same with the main threats being damaging winds and flash flooding. Our tornado threat is still low but still possible, especially with this first line moving through. We could also see some small to moderate sized hail. The second line will move in later this evening as the cold front moves in.
This round will also bring with it the potential for heavy rain and damaging wind gusts. The ground is already saturated and the potential for flash flooding is high as heavy downpours can be embedded in both lines of storms.
The Flash Flood Watch will continue until midnight Thursday.
Wednesday, May 24, 6:30am –
Wednesday’s rain will not be as widespread as what the Pee Dee and Grand Strand saw Tuesday, but we still have the potential for pockets of heavy downpours in the afternoon hours. We will continue with the Weather Alert Day as our entire area remains in a “slight” risk for severe weather. This is level 2 out of 5.
It looks like we’ll have 2 rounds for the potential for severe weather.
Breaking things down, storms are expected to begin increasing in coverage by 2pm through 6pm. These will be spotty to scattered, but there will be increasing instability so in anyone of these storms there could be damaging winds and large hail. These storms will be out ahead of the main line and because of that, they will be moving in different directions and the threat for an isolated tornado will be likely. There is a 5% chance of seeing a tornado within a 25 mile radius.
The second line will come in from 8pm through Midnight, this line will have a bigger punch as the main storm systems pushes into the area. The main threat with this line will be locally damaging winds, large hail and flooding.We remain under a Flash Flood Watch through midnight Thursday morning. We could see an additional 1-2inches of rain and pockets of higher amounts where the heavy cells develop and train over the same area. The threat for tornadoes will remain the same, as there could be a few bowing segments with the main line, however again the main wind threat will be straight line winds in excess of 60mph.
We remain under a Flash Flood Watch through midnight Thursday morning. The ground in some areas like Bucksport and just south of Conway is saturated from Tuesday’s rain, so we’ll keep an eye on the potential for flash flooding in areas already hit hard with storm
The storm system is expected to move out by Thursday Afternoon and we’ll start to see drying and warmer conditions through the weekend.
Tuesday, May 23, 9pm –
The threat for severe thunderstorms has ended for tonight, but rain and thunderstorms will continue. The potential for heavy rain and flooding will continue tonight through tomorrow. Severe thunderstorms will be possible again late tomorrow.
Tuesday, May 23, 4pm –
The weather alert day continues for today and tonight, and has been extended through Wednesday as well. Expect rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms through Wednesday with 2-4 inches of rain expected. Some spots could see more than 4 inches of rain. There is also the potential for severe thunderstorms this evening, then again late Wednesday.
While heavy rain and flooding is the main threat with this storm system, damaging wind gusts and an isolated tornado are also possible with the strongest thunderstorms. The FLASH FLOOD WATCH in effect has been extended through Wednesday. This storm system will move away on Thursday.
Here is a timeline of when to expect the worst weather:
Heavy rain and severe thunderstorms are possible this evening until midnight
There will be a lull overnight and through Wednesday morning. Any scattered thunderstorms that develop can produce heavy rain.
Stronger storms will develop Wednesday between 5pm and midnight. Heavy rain and severe weather are possible.
Tuesday, May 23, 10am –
Tuesday will be a Weather Alert Day for rounds of storms with heavy rain moving through the area, some storms later this afternoon/evening could be strong to severe.
The highest threat with this system is the heavy rain and possible flash flooding. Some areas have already received upwards of 2” and forecast models suggest a possible 1” to 3” more this afternoon and into tonight.
We also have the possibility that some of the storms this evening could intensify with the main treat being gusty winds, hail and the possibility for some small tornadoes.
The low that is in GA now looks to be strengthening and tracking a little closer, causing some deep-layer shear (turning wind with height) which could possibly spin up a weak isolated tornado, especially closer to the coast. Looks like there is 2 rounds for severe weather potential….The window for us to see the greatest potential for these stronger storms is from about 2pm to 5pm and then from 8pm to Midnight.